Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000101 0.000107 0.000113 0.000120 0.000128 0.000136 0.000145
2024-12-29 0.000094 0.000102 0.000111 0.000122 0.000135 0.000150 0.000168
2025-01-05 0.000086 0.000096 0.000106 0.000120 0.000136 0.000155 0.000180
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000089 0.000101 0.000115 0.000133 0.000156 0.000187
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000085 0.000096 0.000112 0.000132 0.000157 0.000193
2025-01-26 0.000069 0.000079 0.000091 0.000107 0.000127 0.000154 0.000194
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000078 0.000091 0.000108 0.000130 0.000161 0.000208
2025-02-09 0.000066 0.000077 0.000091 0.000110 0.000135 0.000171 0.000228
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000077 0.000091 0.000112 0.000140 0.000181 0.000249
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000079 0.000095 0.000117 0.000151 0.000200 0.000289
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000075 0.000091 0.000114 0.000148 0.000199 0.000292
2025-03-09 0.000061 0.000073 0.000089 0.000111 0.000145 0.000198 0.000297
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000071 0.000087 0.000111 0.000147 0.000205 0.000319
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000071 0.000088 0.000113 0.000153 0.000219 0.000357
2025-03-30 0.000056 0.000068 0.000085 0.000111 0.000151 0.000220 0.000370
2025-04-06 0.000053 0.000065 0.000082 0.000107 0.000147 0.000217 0.000371
2025-04-13 0.000051 0.000063 0.000079 0.000104 0.000144 0.000215 0.000376
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000060 0.000076 0.000099 0.000138 0.000207 0.000366
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000060 0.000075 0.000100 0.000141 0.000216 0.000398
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000059 0.000076 0.000102 0.000146 0.000230 0.000447
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000104 0.000151 0.000244 0.000504
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000163 0.000275 0.000627
2025-05-25 0.000046 0.000059 0.000076 0.000106 0.000159 0.000270 0.000628